A Monetary Policy Model Without Money for India;Michael Debabrata Patra and Muneesh Kapur;IMF Working Paper10/183;August 1, 2010
نویسندگان
چکیده
This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF. The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate. A New Keynesian model estimated for India yields valuable insights. Aggregate demand reacts to interest rate changes with a lag of at least three quarters, with inflation taking seven quarters to respond. Inflation is inertial and persistent when it sets in, irrespective of the source. Exchange rate pass-through to domestic inflation is low. Inflation turns out to be the dominant focus of monetary policy, accompanied by a strong commitment to the stabilization of output. Recent policy actions have raised the effective policy rate, but the estimated neutral policy rate suggests some further tightening to normalize the policy stance. JEL Classification Numbers: E31; E32; E52; E58; F41
منابع مشابه
Alternative Monetary Policy Rules for India; by Michael Debabrata Patra and Muneesh Kapur; IMF Working Paper 12/118; May 1, 2012
This paper empirically evaluates the operational performance of the McCallum rule, the Taylor rule and hybrid rules in India over the period 1996–2011 using quarterly data, with a view to analytically informing the conduct of monetary policy. The results show that forward-looking formulations of both rules and their hybrid version setting a nominal output growth objective for monetary policy wi...
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تاریخ انتشار 2010